After the five national articles of association, the regulation effect of house price rise is not obvious.
after the five national articles of association, the regulation effect of house price rise is not obvious.
October 14, 2013
[China paint information] the "five national articles of association" has been issued for more than half a year, but the house price rise has not decreased at all. According to the data just released by the China Index Institute, the average housing price in 100 cities rose by 1.07% month on month in September, which has risen for 16 consecutive months since June 2012. Some insiders believe that the effect of policy control measures on curbing the rise of house prices is not obvious
the "golden nine" real estate market is in great demand, and the "Sunlight" phenomenon is frequently reported in newspapers. According to the Beijing real estate transaction management data, on October 9, 2013, the inventory of marketable commercial housing in Beijing was only 59921 units, the lowest level in the year. Industry insiders believe that Beijing's inventory has fallen below the warning red line. In the next few months, Beijing's real estate market will be affected by the imbalance between supply and demand, and the rising speed of house prices may accelerate again
the increasing transaction volume of the real estate market in major cities across the country has also driven the rapid growth of the demand for 490.3 gold loans from the reserve. According to media reports, Hangzhou, Guangzhou, Qingdao, Beijing, Shanghai and other places frequently have difficulties in lending provident fund. In many cities, the loan of provident fund has been delayed or even cut off, and some cities have even experienced "withdrawal"
in March this year, various localities published the detailed rules of the "five new national rules". Many municipalities directly under the central government, provincial capitals and cities specifically designated in the state plan have announced their housing price control targets for this year, most of which are "the increase in housing prices is lower than the actual increase in per capita disposable income". In the face of rising housing prices and increasing demand, some industry insiders have questioned whether this housing price control goal can be achieved
chengdaoping, director of the real estate department of Shandong Normal University, believes that on the whole, house prices in many large and medium-sized cities have risen significantly this year. From September to the end of the year, house prices are likely to remain rising, which will lead to the failure of the urban regulation target of rapid house price rise
among them, the first tier cities with rapidly rising house prices are under great pressure. In 2012, the per capita disposable income of Guangzhou households was 38054 yuan, an actual increase of 8.1% after deducting price factors, 13 percentage points lower than the increase in house prices in the first three quarters of 2013. In the first three quarters of 2013, the cumulative increase in the price of new houses in Shenzhen reached 18.84%, which was higher than 201. The external wall internal insulation system should be given priority. The actual growth rate of per capita income in two years was 10 percentage points. The price of new houses in Beijing led the country, with a cumulative increase of more than 20%
according to Longbin, chief market analyst of Hefu real estate, it is unreasonable to announce a house price control target every year, which is a short-term behavior. "House prices can not be regulated in a year, because it is a long-term process from land supply to housing to the second-hand market. The focus of real estate regulation should not be on the annual house price control target, but on how to solve the medium and long-term stable development, solve the balance between supply and demand, and solve the housing needs of all classes."
"there is no doubt about the role of administrative regulation, but repeated adjustments and increases have led to changes in policy expectations. At present, the market has reached a period when a long-term mechanism must be introduced." Zhang Dawei of Centaline emphasized that without changing the expectations of home buyers and "land kings" coming out one after another, rigid demand will panic into the market, and improving demand will also overdraw purchasing power. It can be said that the short-term regulation policy of "blocking" has become less and less effective
however, experts from the Ministry of housing and urban rural development gave positive comments on the regulation policy. Qin Hong, director of the policy research center of the Ministry of housing and urban rural development, said yesterday that the recent round of real estate regulation and control measures of the Chinese government had achieved remarkable results. She believes that the rigid purchase of this series of models is mainly applicable to various pipe ring stiffness test. The demand for the experimental room has returned to the main body, and the investment house purchase has been controlled. "On the premise that the control policy remains unchanged and China's economic development is generally stable, monetary policy will become the main influencing factor of China's real estate market prices."